Saturday, 14 January 2012
Taiwan re-elects president By James Pomfret
Taiwan voters
re-elected incumbent President
Ma Ying-jeou on Saturday,
endorsing his push for closer ties
with Beijing and removing a
potential irritant in Sino-U.S.
relations as those two powers
head for a year of political
transition.
The election had been expected
to be tight, but the Central
Election Commission said the
Nationalist Party's Ma Ying-jeou
won about 51.6 percent of the
vote versus about 45.6 percent
for Tsai Ing-wen of the
opposition Democratic
Progressive Party (DPP).
"In the next four years, cross-
strait relations will be more
peaceful, with greater mutual
trust and the chance of conflict
will be less," Ma, 61, told
thousands of his supporters,
many clapping, waving red and
blue Taiwan flags and cheering in
the pouring rain outside the party
headquarters in downtown
Taipei.
There was no official comment
from Beijing, but the Communist
Party's official newspaper, the
People's Daily, welcomed the
outcome.
"This result shows that striving
for peace, development and
stability has become mainstream
public opinion on the island of
Taiwan, and this will promote the
advance of cross-strait relations,"
said a commentary on its website
(www.people.com.cn)
"In recent years, the peaceful
development of cross-strait
relations has brought dividends,
and many members of Taiwan's
public feel this deeply."
U.S. President Barack Obama
congratulated Ma on the win.
"Cross-strait peace, stability and
improved relations, in an
environment free from
intimidation, are of profound
importance to the United States,"
he said.
China claims Taiwan, a U.S. ally, as
a renegade province that must be
re-unified eventually with the
mainland. U.S. arms sales to the
island are a major bugbear for
Beijing.
The election outcome would be a
relief to China. The opposition
DPP's independence-leaning
stance has long angered Beijing,
even though Tsai had tried to
distance herself from that
position in the campaign. Analysts
had said a DPP win would have
put ties with China in limbo, and
sharpened Beijing's differences
with the United States.
Ma's victory lifted a potential
cloud over China's own
leadership transition later this
year. China's President Hu Jintao,
who considers forging detente
with Taiwan as a proud part of
his legacy, is due to step down as
Communist Party chief this year
and as president next year as part
of the leadership reshuffle.
ONE IRRITANT
For the United States as well, the
result removes at least one prickly
issue from its ties with China as
Obama readies for his own re-
election bid later this year.
"It's a good result for Ma's China
policy, and it is probably also a
good result for Beijing's Taiwan
policy," said Alex Huang,
professor of strategic studies at
Taipei's Tamkang University.
"It is also a good result for the
United States and for regional
stability," he added, noting also
that business will benefit from
the continuity the same
administration will provide.
However, Ma's victory was much
reduced from the near 17-point
margin he had over the DPP at the
last election in 2008.
The Nationalist Party also won a
clear majority in parliament,
which should give Ma a fillip in
pushing through policy. The
election commission said the
Nationalists won 64 seats in the
113-member legislature, although
that is also lower than the 81
seats they had in the outgoing
house.
"We will continue to let economic
growth flourish, protect cross-
strait peace and friendly relations
to achieve more concrete results
in cooperation in important
areas," said Lien Chan, the
honorary chairman of the
Nationalists.
But in an acknowledgement of
the reduced majority, he added:
"We need to discuss thoroughly
the criticism the voters have
handed to us."
Ma's China policy is centered on
not declaring independence but
also not not moving toward
unification. Despite critics saying
that his policy of detente could
lead to unification with China, he
is seen unlikely to allow that.
"There's a majority position that
is in support of maintaining the
status quo, the numbers of
people that want unification or
independence are very, very
small," said Bonnie Glaser, a
leading U.S. scholar on Taiwan
issues.
"He (Ma) wants to do what is in
the interests of the majority in
Taiwan. I think it's extremely
unlikely that he'll move away from
that position."
China also was more relaxed
about this election. Unlike in
1996, when China fired missiles
into waters off Taiwan before the
island's first direct presidential
election, Beijing has learnt to
temper any response to avoid
antagonizing voters into backing
the DPP.
Nearly 200,000 Taiwanese
returned from overseas for the
poll according to local media
reports, cramming flights in a last
minute rush to cast ballots. In a
measure of the easing ties with
the mainland, most of them came
over from China.
Ma and Tsai are both former law
academics with doctorates from
Harvard and the London School of
Economics respectively. Tsai, the
first woman to bid for Taiwan's
presidency, appeared unable to
press home her charges that Ma
had pursued his pro-China policy
with little regard to rising costs of
living and a widening income gap
at home.
"Ma has lost a lot of votes," said
former DPP legislator Luo Wenjia.
"But the people's dissatisfaction
was not enough to make him lose
the election."
A third presidential candidate,
former Nationalist party member
James Soong who now leads a
splinter party, trailed far behind
with around 2.8 percent of the
vote.
Ma's victory is likely to provide a
short-term boost to Taiwan
stocks and the Taiwan dollar
when markets reopen on
Monday, analysts said. Economists
see stronger ties with China's vast
markets as vital for Taiwan's
heavily export-dependent
economy because of the
slowdown elsewhere in the
world.
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