Wednesday, 1 February 2012
Women abandon Gingrich drive Romney victory in FL
Women
abandoned Newt Gingrich in
droves Tuesday and helped fuel
former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt
Romney's triumph in Florida's
Republican presidential primary,
according to preliminary data
from an exit poll of voters.
While Romney held a narrow lead
over the former House speaker
among men, he easily
outdistanced him among women,
winning around five of their
votes for every three that went to
Gingrich. In the three states in
which Republicans had already
voted for their presidential
nominee — Iowa, New
Hampshire and South Carolina —
there was relatively little
difference in how the sexes
divided their votes between the
two rivals.
Some of the data Tuesday
suggested that many women's
votes were influenced by a
personal distaste for Gingrich.
Asked their views of him as a
person, men said they generally
viewed him favorably by just
under a 2-1 margin, while
women were about evenly
divided.
Asked if they would be satisfied if
Gingrich won the GOP
nomination, men said yes by
nearly a 6-4 margin while women
were closely split. In addition,
while men divided about evenly
between Gingrich and Romney
over which candidate best
understood average Americans'
problems, women leaned toward
Romney.
Women expressed stronger
positive feelings about Romney
than men did, but the difference
between them was slight. More
than 7 in 10 men and women
expressed favorable views of
Romney personally.
Romney's triumph came after a
campaign in Florida in which he
and his supporters outspent
Gingrich on television ads by
nearly a 5-1 margin, with many of
the ads raising attacking the
former speaker's character. None
mentioned Gingrich's three
marriages or the charges by his
second wife, Marianne, that he
asked permission for an open
marriage before they were
divorced, an allegation Gingrich
has denied.
Early voters also gave Romney
more of an edge. Those in the poll
who voted early or by absentee
ballot backed Romney by around
a 2-1 majority, a stronger edge
than he won among those at the
polling places on Tuesday. Before
Tuesday's voting, analysts
thought Gingrich might pick up
some late momentum in Florida
because of his victory in South
Carolina's Jan. 21 GOP primary.
Gingrich also showed more
strength among lower-earning
people and those hurting from
Florida's economic ills.
Though Romney won among
every income category, he did
more strongly among higher-
income voters than among those
nearer the bottom economic
rung. Gingrich managed to split
the one-quarter of voters with
Romney who said they are falling
behind economically. And
Gingrich did better among the
half of voters who said home
foreclosures are a major problem
in their communities than he did
among those who said it wasn't
so bad.
The exit poll also showed Romney
did better with less conservative
people than with those
considering themselves very
conservative.
Gingrich prevailed among people
who said they are very
conservative, while Romney had a
decisive edge among Florida GOP
voters who are somewhat
conservative, moderate or liberal.
The two candidates split tea party
supporters about evenly, while
Romney won strongly among all
others.
Around 6 in 10 Florida GOP voters
said the economy was their
biggest issue. They preferred
Romney by about 20 percentage
points.
The survey of 2,739 voters
Republican voters was conducted
for The Associated Press and the
television networks by Edison
Research. This includes
preliminary results among 2,139
voters interviewed Tuesday as
they left their polling places at 40
randomly selected sites in Florida.
In addition, 600 who voted early
or absentee were interviewed by
landline or cellular telephone from
Jan. 23 to 29. The survey has a
margin of sampling error of plus
or minus 3 percentage points
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